Friday, April 7, 2017

For Every Action...

    


Ok, we retaliated against Syria, what now? Should we have done it? Was it proportionate? Should we have warned Russia?

Short answers in my opinion, yes we should have done it. Yes it was proportionate. Yes we should have warned Russia. So what now?

Obviously I am no military strategist. I'm no smarter than anyone who reads my articles.  I just try to pay attention to what is happening and use common sense. Most of the experts I've heard last night seem to think we will know what the reactions will be in the next 24 - 72 hours. Obviously they are the experts, not me, but I'm not sure we will know that quickly.

President Trump's swift, determined response to Assad's chemical weapon attack will make all the world players have to think of their response. This Commander in Chief is different from the previous one. We will look at it by country.

Russia

Putin has to do something to save face. Hopefully it will be a measured response that won't result in a "tit for tat" response from the U.S. so that things escalate. The "never Trumpers" will use our warning to Russia as "proof" President Trump colluded with Russia in the election. Bovine waste.

Had we not warned Russia and there been Russian loss of life, Putin would have had no choice but to retaliate. The Russian people would have demanded it. Putin and Russia are not our friends. One only has to look at Afghanistan to see that. Russia is helping arm The Taliban. Russia and the Taliban were mortal enemies for years. Many experts say their fight against the Taliban is a large part of what brought about the break up of The Soviet Union. President Vladimir Putin of Russia has described the break-up of the Soviet Union as the "greatest geopolitical disaster of the last century". The only reason Putin would even consider arming The Taliban is because he hates the U.S. even more.

I think Putin will bluff and bluster publically and have some type of measured response. Unfortunately behind the scenes I think he will do more to arm and support our enemies such as Iran, the Taliban, etc.

Iran

There is no doubt Iran will retaliate. Again, to save face they have no choice. The question are how soon and how publically. Will they go as far as ordering a terrorist attack inside of America? They do have the people here with the capability to carry out terror attacks. I really don't think they will go that far, yet. That day will come.

I look for them to use the Shia Militias in Iraq to try and carry out a terror attack on our troops in Iraq. Maybe even try to take an American Soldier alive which would be horrible. Possibly a Hezbollah attack on Israel.

Turkey

I haven't really heard any experts mention Turkey yet, which I think is a mistake. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the President of Turkey is an evil snake. He has publically applauded the attack on Syria which is concerning. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has an ulterior motive for everything he says and does. He thinks he should be the leader of the next Islamic Caliphate. In order to achieve that he needs to be able to pound the Kurds under the guise of helping to depose Bashar Hafez al-Assad.

Anything Erdogan is happy about is bad for the world.

North Korea

Kim Jong-un, the short fat crazy kid who is the dictator of North Korea is a wild card in this thing. Can and will China stop him from doing something crazy? I don't know. He is certainly insane enough to do something in the wake of this to provoke things.

There have been rumors from defectors from North Korea that some military leaders in North Korea are almost ready to stage a military coup of the short fat crazy kid. I can't see them having the courage to attempt a coup without the Chinese giving behind the scenes permission. They know without the Chinese agreeing to stay out of any coup attempt they would be brutally crushed.

China

I probably have less of an instinct of what China will do than any of the other countries. I would think President Xi Jinping would be a little unnerved to see America now has a President who would have this attack occur as the two of them were having dinner.

The end result? I think President Trump did the right thing. The right way. Time will tell.

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